Ebook Market Volatility (MIT Press), by Robert J. Shiller
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Market Volatility proposes an innovative theory, backed by substantial statistical evidence, on the causes of price fluctuations in speculative markets. It challenges the standard efficient markets model for explaining asset prices by emphasizing the significant role that popular opinion or psychology can play in price volatility. Why does the stock market crash from time to time? Why does real estate go in and out of booms? Why do long term borrowing rates suddenly make surprising shifts? Market Volatility represents a culmination of Shiller's research on these questions over the last dozen years. It contains reprints of major papers with new interpretive material for those unfamiliar with the issues, new papers, new surveys of relevant literature, responses to critics, data sets, and reframing of basic conclusions. Included is work authored jointly with John Y. Campbell, Karl E. Case, Sanford J. Grossman, and Jeremy J. Siegel. Market Volatility sets out basic issues relevant to all markets in which prices make movements for speculative reasons and offers detailed analyses of the stock market, the bond market, and the real estate market. It pursues the relations of these speculative prices and extends the analysis of speculative markets to macroeconomic activity in general. In studies of the October 1987 stock market crash and boom and post-boom housing markets, Market Volatility reports on research directly aimed at collecting information about popular models and interpreting the consequences of belief in those models. Shiller asserts that popular models cause people to react incorrectly to economic data and believes that changing popular models themselves contribute significantly to price movements bearing no relation to fundamental shocks.
- Sales Rank: #1504336 in Books
- Published on: 1992-01-30
- Original language: English
- Number of items: 1
- Dimensions: 9.00" h x .94" w x 6.00" l, 1.68 pounds
- Binding: Paperback
- 478 pages
Review
Shiller's book should be read by anyone with a serious interest in the functioning of markets.
(Richard A. Grasso, President and Chief Operating Officer, New York Stock Exchange)A specter haunts modern economics: 'individual stocks perform random walks in efficient markets, but the level of the whole market displays no demonstrable efficiency.' Bob Shiller is the key economist in this great debate. Buy his book and think on its contents. Learn what the October 1987 crash was all about.
(Paul Samuelson, Institute Professor, MIT) From the Back Cover
Market Volatility proposes an innovative theory, backed by substantial statistical evidence, on the causes of price fluctuations in speculative markets. It challenges the standard efficient-markets model for exploring asset prices by emphasizing the significant role that popular opinion or psychology can play in price volatility.
About the Author
Robert J. Shiller is Stanley B. Resor Professor of Economics at the Cowles Foundation, Yale University.
Most helpful customer reviews
13 of 23 people found the following review helpful.
An Academic with a brain!
By Merrell T. Denison
Shiller does to the Effecient Market Theory what Columbus did to the flat earth theory. This is one of the finest books on markets I have read, and I have read hundreds.
12 of 12 people found the following review helpful.
Good but technical
By E. During
There are some long reviews on the book by professionals that I can't match in content. However for readers interested in this book because of previous reading of 'irrational exuberance' or even 'the new financial order', be warned! It is a pretty technical book with lot's of statistics. Without basic knowledge of all the R's and covariances a lot of the true value gets lost. Still Robert Shiller is a clear thinker and even without a good grasp of teh statistics it still contains interesting observations.
42 of 50 people found the following review helpful.
The best book on volatility ever written!
By Scott Brown
I am a futures trader/ stock investor/ produce distributor. My constant involvement in markets of one kind or another led me to develop a deep desire to understand volatility. Unfortunately the only books I could find dealt with option volatility. "Market Volatility" has been THE best book dealing with market mechanics that I have ever read. I recommend the book as a "must have" to my friends in the industry.
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